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Subject: 30 August 2005
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  <o:Author>Daniel Lucey</o:Author>
  <o:LastAuthor>Valued Sony Customer</o:LastAuthor>
  <o:Revision>2</o:Revision>
  <o:TotalTime>3</o:TotalTime>
  <o:Created>2005-09-06T17:14:00Z</o:Created>
  <o:LastSaved>2005-09-06T17:14:00Z</o:LastSaved>
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<DIV class=3DSection1>
<P class=3DMsoNormal><SPAN=20
style=3D"FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial; mso-bidi-font-size: 12.0pt; =
mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'"><![if =
!supportEmptyParas]><![endif]>&nbsp;<o:p></o:p></SPAN></P>
<P class=3DMsoNormal><SPAN=20
style=3D"FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial; mso-bidi-font-size: 12.0pt; =
mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">30=20
August 2005<o:p></o:p></SPAN></P>
<P class=3DMsoNormal><SPAN=20
style=3D"FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial; mso-bidi-font-size: 12.0pt; =
mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'"><![if =
!supportEmptyParas]><![endif]>&nbsp;<o:p></o:p></SPAN></P>
<H1>Children and H5N1: Ages, Fatalities, and Antiviral Limitations</H1>
<P class=3DMsoNormal><SPAN=20
style=3D"FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial; mso-bidi-font-size: 12.0pt; =
mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'"><![if =
!supportEmptyParas]><![endif]>&nbsp;<o:p></o:p></SPAN></P>
<P class=3DMsoNormal><SPAN=20
style=3D"FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial; mso-bidi-font-size: 12.0pt; =
mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">The=20
World Health Organization has published the ages and clinical outcomes =
for each=20
of the initial 50 patients with H5N1 avian influenza virus infection. =
The data=20
was listed case by case in tabular form in a January 2005 document =
posted online=20
(<A href=3D"http://www.who.int/">http://www.who.int/</A>) titled =
=93Assessing the=20
Pandemic Threat=94 (page 20-21). A striking finding is that, unlike SARS =
virus=20
infection, children are clearly vulnerable to both infection and death =
due to=20
the H5N1 virus. In addition, age restrictions on the FDA-licensed use of =
the=20
neuraminidase inhibitor drugs (oseltamivir (oral), and zanamivir =
(inhaled)) to=20
which this current H5N1 virus is susceptible have major implications for =
the=20
prophylaxis and treatment of treatment of children and should be =
anticipated in=20
planning for a pandemic.<o:p></o:p></SPAN></P>
<P class=3DMsoNormal><SPAN=20
style=3D"FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial; mso-bidi-font-size: 12.0pt; =
mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'"><![if =
!supportEmptyParas]><![endif]>&nbsp;<o:p></o:p></SPAN></P>
<P class=3DMsoNormal><SPAN=20
style=3D"FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial; mso-bidi-font-size: 12.0pt; =
mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">A=20
summary table of the ages, number of persons in each 10 year age cohort, =
and=20
number of fatalities in each 10 year age cohort can be created from the=20
individual WHO case demographics listed:<o:p></o:p></SPAN></P>
<P class=3DMsoNormal><SPAN=20
style=3D"FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial; mso-bidi-font-size: 12.0pt; =
mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'"><![if =
!supportEmptyParas]><![endif]>&nbsp;<o:p></o:p></SPAN></P>
<P class=3DMsoNormal><U><SPAN=20
style=3D"FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial; mso-bidi-font-size: 12.0pt; =
mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">Age=20
range</SPAN></U><SPAN=20
style=3D"FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial; mso-bidi-font-size: 12.0pt; =
mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'"><SPAN=20
style=3D"mso-tab-count: =
1">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbs=
p;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;=20
</SPAN><U># of patients</U><SPAN style=3D"mso-tab-count: 1"> </SPAN><U># =
of=20
Deaths/ # of patients<o:p></o:p></U></SPAN></P>
<P class=3DMsoNormal><SPAN=20
style=3D"FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial; mso-bidi-font-size: 12.0pt; =
mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">0-10<SPAN=20
style=3D"mso-tab-count: 1">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; =
</SPAN><SPAN=20
style=3D"mso-tab-count: =
1">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbs=
p;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;=20
</SPAN>19<SPAN=20
style=3D"mso-tab-count: =
1">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;=20
</SPAN><SPAN=20
style=3D"mso-tab-count: =
1">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbs=
p;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;=20
</SPAN>16/19<o:p></o:p></SPAN></P>
<P class=3DMsoNormal><SPAN=20
style=3D"FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial; mso-bidi-font-size: 12.0pt; =
mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">11-20<SPAN=20
style=3D"mso-tab-count: 1">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; </SPAN><SPAN=20
style=3D"mso-tab-count: =
1">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbs=
p;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;=20
</SPAN>15<SPAN=20
style=3D"mso-tab-count: =
1">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;=20
</SPAN><SPAN=20
style=3D"mso-tab-count: =
1">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbs=
p;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;=20
</SPAN>12/15<o:p></o:p></SPAN></P>
<P class=3DMsoNormal><SPAN=20
style=3D"FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial; mso-bidi-font-size: 12.0pt; =
mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">21-30<SPAN=20
style=3D"mso-tab-count: 1">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; </SPAN><SPAN=20
style=3D"mso-tab-count: =
1">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbs=
p;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;=20
</SPAN>10<SPAN=20
style=3D"mso-tab-count: =
1">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;=20
</SPAN><SPAN=20
style=3D"mso-tab-count: =
1">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbs=
p;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;=20
</SPAN><SPAN style=3D"mso-spacerun: yes">&nbsp; =
</SPAN>7/10<o:p></o:p></SPAN></P>
<P class=3DMsoNormal><SPAN=20
style=3D"FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial; mso-bidi-font-size: 12.0pt; =
mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">31-40<SPAN=20
style=3D"mso-tab-count: =
2">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbs=
p;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;=20
</SPAN>4<SPAN=20
style=3D"mso-tab-count: =
2">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbs=
p;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp=
;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;=20
</SPAN><SPAN style=3D"mso-spacerun: yes">&nbsp; =
</SPAN>2/4<o:p></o:p></SPAN></P>
<P class=3DMsoNormal><SPAN=20
style=3D"FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial; mso-bidi-font-size: 12.0pt; =
mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">41-50<SPAN=20
style=3D"mso-tab-count: =
2">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbs=
p;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;=20
</SPAN>1<SPAN=20
style=3D"mso-tab-count: =
2">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbs=
p;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp=
;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;=20
</SPAN><SPAN style=3D"mso-spacerun: yes">&nbsp; =
</SPAN>0/1<o:p></o:p></SPAN></P>
<P class=3DMsoNormal><SPAN=20
style=3D"FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial; mso-bidi-font-size: 12.0pt; =
mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">51-60<SPAN=20
style=3D"mso-tab-count: =
2">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbs=
p;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;=20
</SPAN>1<SPAN=20
style=3D"mso-tab-count: =
2">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbs=
p;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp=
;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;=20
</SPAN><SPAN style=3D"mso-spacerun: yes">&nbsp; =
</SPAN>1/1<o:p></o:p></SPAN></P>
<P class=3DMsoNormal><SPAN=20
style=3D"FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial; mso-bidi-font-size: 12.0pt; =
mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'"><![if =
!supportEmptyParas]><![endif]>&nbsp;<o:p></o:p></SPAN></P>
<P class=3DMsoNormal><SPAN=20
style=3D"FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial; mso-bidi-font-size: 12.0pt; =
mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">The=20
only oral drug to treat H5N1 infection is oseltamivir =
(=93Tamiflu=94).<SPAN=20
style=3D"mso-spacerun: yes">&nbsp; </SPAN>This drug is NOT FDA-licensed =
for=20
children under the age of 13.<SPAN style=3D"mso-spacerun: yes">&nbsp;=20
</SPAN>Oseltamivir is not FDA-licensed for treatment of active influenza =

infection in infants below the age of 1 year. It is approved for persons =
over=20
the age of one year, and dose varies by child=92s weight up to the age =
of 13=20
years. The shelf-life of oseltamivir in pediatric liquid solution =
form<SPAN=20
style=3D"mso-spacerun: yes">&nbsp; </SPAN>in the past has been somewhat =
shorter=20
than the capsule form for adults.<o:p></o:p></SPAN></P>
<P class=3DMsoNormal><SPAN=20
style=3D"FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial; mso-bidi-font-size: 12.0pt; =
mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'"><![if =
!supportEmptyParas]><![endif]>&nbsp;<o:p></o:p></SPAN></P>
<P class=3DMsoNormal><SPAN=20
style=3D"FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial; mso-bidi-font-size: 12.0pt; =
mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">The=20
second neuraminidase anti-influenza drug, zanamivir,<SPAN=20
style=3D"mso-spacerun: yes">&nbsp; </SPAN>is not available in oral form =
and is=20
only used as an inhaled drug.<SPAN style=3D"mso-spacerun: yes">&nbsp; =
</SPAN>In=20
addition, it is not FDA-licensed for prophylaxis for any age. Zanamivir =
is only=20
FDA-licensed for treatment of active influenza infection for persons =
over the=20
age of 6 years. These and other pediatric issues deserve more attention =
as=20
pandemic influenza planning increases worldwide.<o:p></o:p></SPAN></P>
<P class=3DMsoNormal><SPAN=20
style=3D"FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial; mso-bidi-font-size: 12.0pt; =
mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'"><![if =
!supportEmptyParas]><![endif]>&nbsp;<o:p></o:p></SPAN></P>
<P class=3DMsoNormal><SPAN=20
style=3D"FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial; mso-bidi-font-size: 12.0pt; =
mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">Daniel=20
R. Lucey, MD, MPH<o:p></o:p></SPAN></P>
<P class=3DMsoNormal><SPAN=20
style=3D"FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial; mso-bidi-font-size: 12.0pt; =
mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">Adjunct=20
Professor of Microbiology and Immunology<o:p></o:p></SPAN></P>
<P class=3DMsoNormal><SPAN=20
style=3D"FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial; mso-bidi-font-size: 12.0pt; =
mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">Georgetown=20
University School of Medicine<o:p></o:p></SPAN></P>
<P class=3DMsoNormal><SPAN=20
style=3D"FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial; mso-bidi-font-size: 12.0pt; =
mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">Director,=20
Center For Biologic Counterterrorism and Emerging =
Diseases<o:p></o:p></SPAN></P>
<P class=3DMsoNormal><SPAN=20
style=3D"FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial; mso-bidi-font-size: 12.0pt; =
mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">Department=20
of Emergency Medicine, Washington Hospital Center<o:p></o:p></SPAN></P>
<P class=3DMsoNormal><SPAN=20
style=3D"FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial; mso-bidi-font-size: 12.0pt; =
mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">Washington,<SPAN=20
style=3D"mso-spacerun: yes">&nbsp; </SPAN>DC<SPAN =
style=3D"mso-tab-count: 1">=20
</SPAN><SPAN=20
style=3D"mso-tab-count: =
1">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbs=
p;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;=20
</SPAN><o:p></o:p></SPAN></P>
<P class=3DMsoNormal><SPAN=20
style=3D"FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial; mso-bidi-font-size: 12.0pt; =
mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">e-mail:=20
Daniel.R.Lucey@Medstar.net<o:p></o:p></SPAN></P>
<P class=3DMsoNormal style=3D"TEXT-INDENT: 0.5in"><SPAN=20
style=3D"FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial; mso-bidi-font-size: 12.0pt; =
mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'"><![if =
!supportEmptyParas]><![endif]>&nbsp;<o:p></o:p></SPAN></P>
<P class=3DMsoNormal><SPAN=20
style=3D"FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial; mso-bidi-font-size: 12.0pt; =
mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'"><![if =
!supportEmptyParas]><![endif]>&nbsp;<o:p></o:p></SPAN></P></DIV></BODY></=
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