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<div class=3DSection1>

<p class=3DMsoNormal><span style=3D'font-size:9.0pt;mso-bidi-font-size:12.0=
pt;
font-family:Arial'>24 April 2009<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal><span style=3D'font-size:9.0pt;mso-bidi-font-size:12.0=
pt;
font-family:Arial'>Friday<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal><span style=3D'font-size:9.0pt;mso-bidi-font-size:12.0=
pt;
font-family:Arial'><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal><b style=3D'mso-bidi-font-weight:normal'><span
style=3D'mso-bidi-font-size:14.0pt;font-family:Arial;mso-bidi-font-family:"=
Times New Roman"'>Novel
Influenza Virus A (H1N1) with Genes of Swine, Avian, and Human origin causi=
ng
infection in parts of <st1:State w:st=3D"on">California</st1:State>, <st1:S=
tate
w:st=3D"on">Texas</st1:State>, and <st1:country-region w:st=3D"on"><st1:pla=
ce
 w:st=3D"on">Mexico</st1:place></st1:country-region>, with some person-to-p=
erson
spread<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal><span style=3D'font-size:9.0pt;mso-bidi-font-size:14.0=
pt;
font-family:Arial;mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"'><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p>=
</span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal><span style=3D'font-size:9.0pt;mso-bidi-font-size:14.0=
pt;
font-family:Arial'>In a rapidly evolving situation as of this evening (Frid=
ay,
24 April) information from the US CDC, the WHO, the Minister of Health of
Mexico, and other sources can be highlighted as followed:<o:p></o:p></span>=
</p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal><span style=3D'font-size:9.0pt;mso-bidi-font-size:14.0=
pt;
font-family:Arial'><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal><span style=3D'font-size:9.0pt;mso-bidi-font-size:14.0=
pt;
font-family:Arial'>I. <span class=3DGramE>The</span> US CDC has laboratory
confirmation of eight (8) non-fatal human infections with a novel influenza
virus, with 6 in southern <st1:State w:st=3D"on">California</st1:State> (<s=
t1:PlaceName
w:st=3D"on">San Diego</st1:PlaceName> <st1:PlaceType w:st=3D"on">County</st=
1:PlaceType>
and <st1:PlaceName w:st=3D"on">Imperial</st1:PlaceName> <st1:PlaceType w:st=
=3D"on">County</st1:PlaceType>)
and two (2) near <st1:place w:st=3D"on"><st1:City w:st=3D"on">San Antonio</=
st1:City>,
 <st1:State w:st=3D"on">Texas</st1:State></st1:place>. The identification o=
f more
cases is anticipated in the <st1:country-region w:st=3D"on"><st1:place w:st=
=3D"on">USA</st1:place></st1:country-region>.<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p><span style=3D'font-size:9.0pt;mso-bidi-font-size:14.0pt;font-family:Ari=
al'>II<span
class=3DGramE>. <span style=3D'mso-spacerun:yes'>&nbsp;</span>The</span> CD=
C media
conference call yesterday, Thursday, 23 April at <st1:time Minute=3D"0" Hou=
r=3D"15"
w:st=3D"on">3pm</st1:time> included data from Dr. Nancy Cox, Chief influenza
virologist at the CDC, that this novel virus has genetic components from th=
ree
different species: <u>swine, avian and human</u>. The written transcript of
this teleconference yesterday quotes Dr.Cox as follows: <o:p></o:p></span><=
/p>

<p><span style=3D'font-size:9.0pt;mso-bidi-font-size:14.0pt;font-family:Ari=
al'>&#8220;</span><span
lang=3DEN style=3D'font-size:9.0pt;mso-bidi-font-size:14.0pt;font-family:Ar=
ial;
mso-ansi-language:EN'>So we have some gene segments that are North American
swine influenza viruses.&nbsp; Some gene segments North American avian
influenza viruses.&nbsp; One gene segment from a human influenza virus and =
two
gene segments that are normally found from swine influenza viruses in Asia =
and
in Europe.&#8221; <o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p><span lang=3DEN style=3D'font-size:9.0pt;mso-bidi-font-size:14.0pt;font-=
family:
Arial;mso-ansi-language:EN'>In the CDC&#8217;s MMWR Dispatch from April 21
reporting the initial two cases from the <st1:country-region w:st=3D"on">US=
A</st1:country-region>
infected with this novel virus, it was stated that the neuraminidase and ma=
trix
genes are of swine influenza origin, but from viruses in swine in Europe/As=
ia
and not <st1:place w:st=3D"on">North America</st1:place>. Which of the gene
segments is of human origin was not stated in yesterday&#8217;s
conference.<span style=3D'mso-spacerun:yes'>&nbsp; </span>Nor was the origin
stated of the haemagglutinin gene, the influenza gene responsible for the
dominant immune response against an influenza virus.<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p style=3D'margin-left:.75in;text-indent:-.5in;mso-list:l0 level1 lfo2;
tab-stops:list .75in'><![if !supportLists]><span lang=3DEN style=3D'font-si=
ze:9.0pt;
mso-bidi-font-size:14.0pt;font-family:Arial;mso-fareast-font-family:Arial;
mso-ansi-language:EN'><span style=3D'mso-list:Ignore'>III.<span style=3D'fo=
nt:7.0pt "Times New Roman"'>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp=
;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;
</span></span></span><![endif]><span lang=3DEN style=3D'font-size:9.0pt;mso=
-bidi-font-size:
14.0pt;font-family:Arial;mso-ansi-language:EN'>There is at least limited
person-to-person spread according to the CDC, citing the father and daughter
infected in <st1:State w:st=3D"on">California</st1:State>, and possibly the=
 two
teenagers near <st1:City w:st=3D"on"><st1:place w:st=3D"on">San Diego</st1:=
place></st1:City>
who attend the same school. Dr. Cox of the CDC stated yesterday in the same
teleconference:<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p><span lang=3DEN style=3D'font-size:9.0pt;mso-bidi-font-size:12.0pt;font-=
family:
Arial;mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-ansi-language:EN'><span
style=3D'mso-spacerun:yes'>&nbsp;</span>&#8220;</span><span lang=3DEN
style=3D'font-size:9.0pt;mso-bidi-font-size:14.0pt;font-family:Arial;mso-an=
si-language:
EN'>So, we're seeing basically a virus that appears to be spreading from pe=
rson
to person in humans and viruses have very similar genetic characteristics to
each other&#8221;. <o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DHeading19><span lang=3DEN style=3D'font-size:9.0pt;mso-bidi-font=
-size:
14.0pt;font-family:Arial;mso-ansi-language:EN'>IV. The CDC has provided (Ap=
ril
20) <span style=3D'mso-spacerun:yes'>&nbsp;</span>interim guidance for clin=
ical
evaluation of persons with suspected swine flu on their website titled: Int=
erim
Guidance on Infection Control and Antiviral Recommendations for Patients wi=
th
Confirmed or Suspected Swine Influenza A Virus Infection <a
href=3D"http://www.cdc.gov/flu/swine/recommendations.htm">www.cdc.gov/flu/s=
wine/recommendations.htm</a><o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DNormalWeb8><span lang=3DEN style=3D'font-size:9.0pt;mso-bidi-fon=
t-size:
14.0pt;font-family:Arial;mso-ansi-language:EN'>V. <span
style=3D'mso-spacerun:yes'>&nbsp;</span>CDC also advised: <span style=3D'co=
lor:
black'>Clinicians should consider the possibility of swine influenza virus
infections in patients presenting with febrile respiratory illness who: <o:=
p></o:p></span></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt=
:auto;
margin-left:167.25pt;text-indent:-.25in;mso-list:l2 level1 lfo3;tab-stops:l=
ist .5in'><![if !supportLists]><span
lang=3DEN style=3D'font-size:9.0pt;mso-bidi-font-size:14.0pt;font-family:Ar=
ial;
mso-fareast-font-family:Arial;color:black;mso-ansi-language:EN'><span
style=3D'mso-list:Ignore'>1.<span style=3D'font:7.0pt "Times New Roman"'>&n=
bsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;
</span></span></span><![endif]><span lang=3DEN style=3D'font-size:9.0pt;mso=
-bidi-font-size:
14.0pt;font-family:Arial;color:black;mso-ansi-language:EN'>Live in <st1:Pla=
ceName
w:st=3D"on">San Diego</st1:PlaceName> <st1:PlaceType w:st=3D"on">County</st=
1:PlaceType>
or <st1:City w:st=3D"on">Imperial County</st1:City>, <st1:State w:st=3D"on"=
>California</st1:State>
or <st1:place w:st=3D"on"><st1:City w:st=3D"on">San Antonio</st1:City>, <st=
1:State
 w:st=3D"on">Texas</st1:State></st1:place> or <o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt=
:auto;
margin-left:167.25pt;text-indent:-.25in;mso-list:l2 level1 lfo3;tab-stops:l=
ist .5in'><![if !supportLists]><span
lang=3DEN style=3D'font-size:9.0pt;mso-bidi-font-size:14.0pt;font-family:Ar=
ial;
mso-fareast-font-family:Arial;color:black;mso-ansi-language:EN'><span
style=3D'mso-list:Ignore'>2.<span style=3D'font:7.0pt "Times New Roman"'>&n=
bsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;
</span></span></span><![endif]><span lang=3DEN style=3D'font-size:9.0pt;mso=
-bidi-font-size:
14.0pt;font-family:Arial;color:black;mso-ansi-language:EN'>Have traveled to=
 <st1:City
w:st=3D"on">San Diego</st1:City> and/or <st1:City w:st=3D"on">Imperial Coun=
ty</st1:City>,
<st1:State w:st=3D"on">California</st1:State> or <st1:place w:st=3D"on"><st=
1:City
 w:st=3D"on">San Antonio</st1:City>, <st1:State w:st=3D"on">Texas</st1:Stat=
e></st1:place>
or <o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt=
:auto;
margin-left:167.25pt;text-indent:-.25in;mso-list:l2 level1 lfo3;tab-stops:l=
ist .5in'><![if !supportLists]><span
lang=3DEN style=3D'font-size:9.0pt;mso-bidi-font-size:14.0pt;font-family:Ar=
ial;
mso-fareast-font-family:Arial;color:black;mso-ansi-language:EN'><span
style=3D'mso-list:Ignore'>3.<span style=3D'font:7.0pt "Times New Roman"'>&n=
bsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;
</span></span></span><![endif]><span lang=3DEN style=3D'font-size:9.0pt;mso=
-bidi-font-size:
14.0pt;font-family:Arial;color:black;mso-ansi-language:EN'>Have been in con=
tact
with ill persons from these areas in the 7 days prior to their illness onse=
t. <o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DNormalWeb8><span lang=3DEN style=3D'font-size:9.0pt;mso-bidi-fon=
t-size:
14.0pt;font-family:Arial;color:black;mso-ansi-language:EN'>If swine flu is
suspected, clinicians should obtain a respiratory swab for swine influenza
testing and place it in a refrigerator (not a freezer). Once collected, the
clinician should contact their state or local health department to facilita=
te
transport and timely diagnosis at a state public health laboratory.<o:p></o=
:p></span></p>

<p class=3DNormalWeb8><span lang=3DEN style=3D'font-size:9.0pt;mso-bidi-fon=
t-size:
14.0pt;font-family:Arial;color:black;mso-ansi-language:EN'>VI. Today the CDC
published on their website (<a href=3D"http://www.cdc.gov/">www.cdc.gov</a>)
another Morbidity and Mortality Weekly Report (MMWR) &#8220;Dispatch&#8221;
that gives more detailed clinical and epidemiological information on the <s=
t1:country-region
w:st=3D"on"><st1:place w:st=3D"on">US</st1:place></st1:country-region> pati=
ents
with this &#8220;swine flu&#8221; virus infection.<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DNormalWeb8><st1:stockticker w:st=3D"on"><span lang=3DEN style=3D=
'font-size:
 9.0pt;mso-bidi-font-size:14.0pt;font-family:Arial;color:black;mso-ansi-lan=
guage:
 EN'>VII</span></st1:stockticker><span lang=3DEN style=3D'font-size:9.0pt;
mso-bidi-font-size:14.0pt;font-family:Arial;color:black;mso-ansi-language:E=
N'>.
Today, the CDC held another media teleconference starting at <st1:time
Minute=3D"30" Hour=3D"14" w:st=3D"on">2:30pm</st1:time>. The acting Directo=
r of the
CDC, Dr. Richard Besser, participated.<span style=3D'mso-spacerun:yes'>&nbs=
p;
</span>It was reported that of the initial 14 samples tested at CDC-Atlanta
from patients in <st1:country-region w:st=3D"on"><st1:place w:st=3D"on">Mex=
ico</st1:place></st1:country-region>
with an influenza-like illness, seven (7) were positive for this swine flu
virus. No clinical details were reported on these seven patients from <st1:=
country-region
w:st=3D"on"><st1:place w:st=3D"on">Mexico</st1:place></st1:country-region>.
However, it was reported in this conference that the Minister of Health of
Mexico had stated that at <u>least some deaths were due to swine flu</u>. (=
In
the <st1:country-region w:st=3D"on"><st1:place w:st=3D"on">USA</st1:place><=
/st1:country-region>
none of the 8 lab-confirmed patients have died. Only one, who was
immunocompromised, required hospitalization).<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DNormalWeb8><st1:stockticker w:st=3D"on"><span lang=3DEN style=3D=
'font-size:
 9.0pt;mso-bidi-font-size:14.0pt;font-family:Arial;color:black;mso-ansi-lan=
guage:
 EN'>VII</span></st1:stockticker><span lang=3DEN style=3D'font-size:9.0pt;
mso-bidi-font-size:14.0pt;font-family:Arial;color:black;mso-ansi-language:E=
N'>.
Early today the World Health organization (WHO) held a conference in <st1:C=
ity
w:st=3D"on"><st1:place w:st=3D"on">Geneva</st1:place></st1:City> regarding =
this
situation. It was reported that the WHO had activated their emergency respo=
nse
command center. Later today the WHO posted on their website a summary updat=
e.
Regarding <st1:country-region w:st=3D"on"><st1:place w:st=3D"on">Mexico</st=
1:place></st1:country-region>
they reported the following:<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt=
:auto'><span
style=3D'font-size:9.0pt;mso-bidi-font-size:14.0pt;font-family:Arial;color:=
black'>&#8220;The
Government of Mexico has reported three separate events. In the Federal
District of Mexico, surveillance began picking up cases of <st1:place w:st=
=3D"on"><st1:stockticker
 w:st=3D"on">ILI</st1:stockticker></st1:place> starting 18 March. The numbe=
r of
cases has risen steadily through April and as of 23 April there are now more
than 854 cases of pneumonia from the capital. Of those, 59 have died. In <s=
t1:State
w:st=3D"on">San Luis Potosi</st1:State>, in central <st1:country-region w:s=
t=3D"on">Mexico</st1:country-region>,
24 cases of <st1:place w:st=3D"on"><st1:stockticker w:st=3D"on">ILI</st1:st=
ockticker></st1:place>,
with three deaths, have been reported. And from <st1:City w:st=3D"on">Mexic=
ali</st1:City>,
near the border with the <st1:country-region w:st=3D"on">United States</st1=
:country-region>,
four cases of <st1:place w:st=3D"on"><st1:stockticker w:st=3D"on">ILI</st1:=
stockticker></st1:place>,
with no deaths, have been reported.<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt=
:auto'><span
style=3D'font-size:9.0pt;mso-bidi-font-size:14.0pt;font-family:Arial;color:=
black'>Of
the Mexican cases, 18 have been laboratory confirmed in <st1:country-region
w:st=3D"on">Canada</st1:country-region> as Swine Influenza A/H1N1, while 12=
 of
those are genetically identical to the Swine Influenza A/H1N1 viruses from =
<st1:State
w:st=3D"on"><st1:place w:st=3D"on">California</st1:place></st1:State>.<o:p>=
</o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt=
:auto'><span
style=3D'font-size:9.0pt;mso-bidi-font-size:14.0pt;font-family:Arial;color:=
black'>The
majority of these cases have occurred in otherwise healthy young adults.
Influenza normally affects the very young and the very old, but these age
groups have not been heavily affected in <st1:country-region w:st=3D"on"><s=
t1:place
 w:st=3D"on">Mexico</st1:place></st1:country-region>. <o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt=
:auto'><span
style=3D'font-size:9.0pt;mso-bidi-font-size:14.0pt;font-family:Arial;color:=
black'>Because
there are human cases associated with an animal influenza virus, and becaus=
e of
the geographical spread of multiple community outbreaks, plus the somewhat
unusual age groups affected, these events are of high concern&#8221;.<o:p><=
/o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt=
:auto'><span
style=3D'font-size:9.0pt;mso-bidi-font-size:14.0pt;font-family:Arial;color:=
black'><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt=
:auto'><span
style=3D'font-size:9.0pt;mso-bidi-font-size:14.0pt;font-family:Arial;color:=
black'>Certainly
a number of critical questions remain, and some answers are likely to appear
this weekend and over the coming days and week(s). A central issue is wheth=
er
there is sustained and efficient human transmission of this novel influenza
virus.<span style=3D'mso-spacerun:yes'>&nbsp; </span>If so, then the WHO wo=
uld
likely consider whether or not to raise their pandemic alert level and what
that would mean if a large urban area is already involved with the outbreak=
 in
terms of potential interventions.<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt=
:auto'><span
style=3D'font-size:9.0pt;mso-bidi-font-size:14.0pt;font-family:Arial;color:=
black'>The
WHO, Pan American Health Organization (PAHO), the US CDC, and the governmen=
ts
of <st1:country-region w:st=3D"on">Mexico</st1:country-region> and the <st1=
:country-region
w:st=3D"on"><st1:place w:st=3D"on">USA</st1:place></st1:country-region> are
involved, among others. One can anticipate evolving interim guidance update=
s as
more data becomes available day-by-day.<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt=
:auto'><span
style=3D'font-size:9.0pt;mso-bidi-font-size:14.0pt;font-family:Arial;color:=
black'><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt=
:auto'><span
style=3D'font-size:9.0pt;mso-bidi-font-size:14.0pt;font-family:Arial;color:=
black'>Daniel
R. Lucey MD, <st1:stockticker w:st=3D"on">MPH</st1:stockticker><o:p></o:p><=
/span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt=
:auto'><span
style=3D'font-size:9.0pt;mso-bidi-font-size:14.0pt;font-family:Arial;color:=
black'>EROne
Institutes, Department of Emergency Medicine<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt=
:auto'><st1:place
w:st=3D"on"><st1:PlaceName w:st=3D"on"><span style=3D'font-size:9.0pt;mso-b=
idi-font-size:
  14.0pt;font-family:Arial;color:black'>Washington</span></st1:PlaceName><s=
pan
 style=3D'font-size:9.0pt;mso-bidi-font-size:14.0pt;font-family:Arial;color=
:black'>
 <st1:PlaceType w:st=3D"on">Hospital</st1:PlaceType> <st1:PlaceType w:st=3D=
"on">Center</st1:PlaceType></span></st1:place><span
style=3D'font-size:9.0pt;mso-bidi-font-size:14.0pt;font-family:Arial;color:=
black'><o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt=
:auto'><span
style=3D'font-size:9.0pt;mso-bidi-font-size:14.0pt;font-family:Arial;color:=
black'>Adjunct
Professor of Microbiology and Immunology<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt=
:auto'><st1:place
w:st=3D"on"><st1:City w:st=3D"on"><span style=3D'font-size:9.0pt;mso-bidi-f=
ont-size:
  14.0pt;font-family:Arial;color:black'>Georgetown University Medical Cente=
r</span></st1:City><span
 style=3D'font-size:9.0pt;mso-bidi-font-size:14.0pt;font-family:Arial;color=
:black'>,
 <st1:State w:st=3D"on">Washington</st1:State></span></st1:place><span
style=3D'font-size:9.0pt;mso-bidi-font-size:14.0pt;font-family:Arial;color:=
black'>,
DC<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt=
:auto'><span
style=3D'font-size:9.0pt;mso-bidi-font-size:14.0pt;font-family:Arial;color:=
black'>Website
for this posting: <a href=3D"http://www.bepast.org/">www.BePast.org</a> (re=
quires
Internet Explorer)<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt=
:auto'><span
style=3D'font-size:9.0pt;mso-bidi-font-size:14.0pt;font-family:Arial;color:=
black'>DRL23@georgetown.edu<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DNormalWeb8><span style=3D'font-size:9.0pt;mso-bidi-font-size:14.=
0pt;
font-family:Arial;color:black'><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></p>

<p><span lang=3DEN style=3D'font-size:9.0pt;mso-bidi-font-size:14.0pt;font-=
family:
Arial;mso-ansi-language:EN'><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal><span style=3D'font-size:9.0pt;mso-bidi-font-size:14.0=
pt;
font-family:Arial'><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></p>

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